what is the chance that numel come with heat wave?

[bluebird]

So I was looking for a pokemon to over come zel tangrowth (it seem to have hp and defend) and that other guy with the over power chatot and it chatter move -.- (it got speed and special att). The part where they both team up on you before you face corey.

So I found numel to solve my problem, this is too late because i already save the file, but i was wondering if anyone know what is the chance of it getting heat wave.

I found numel near the abandon rail place during a rainy night. i retried about 7 times and the best that i got was with iron head move.

[Chris P. Bacon]

Because Numel has 16 Egg Moves (none of which he can learn himself), there is (probably) a 1/16 chance to get Numel with Heat Wave. Though not as good, if you don't manage to get a Numel with Heat Wave, he still learns Flame Burst and Lava Plume by himself early on (levels 15 and 22).

I got through the Tangrowths using Numel too, though I used one with Amnesia, Growth (the egg move it came with) and the ability Simple, which made the fights relatively easy.

[bepe]

Actually Ame said that she only choose a few of the good egg moves for each event pokemon, so the chances should be 1/3 or 4ish assuming she chose heat wave as one of the moves.

[Redo.]

Actually, as far as my softreset told me, Numel doesn't get Heat Wave by event Egg Moves (His four moves are Body Slam, Iron Head, Growth and Stockpile).

In my case I softreseted about 30/40 times for a good IV's Growth Numel and only those four moves appeared, so I'm pretty sure that's all.

[bepe]

That fits with what ame said, I guess you'll have to breed for heat wave :/